Trump's Potential Jail Time Could Jeopardize Presidential Campaign

Justice Juan Merchan has threatened Trump with jail time for repeatedly violating the order, although he is reluctant to take this step. Jailing Trump could inflame his loyal base and reinforce his narrative of political persecution. However, it could also remind undecided voters of the chaos that has routinely followed Trump and potentially alienate them. Trump remains in a close race with President Joe Biden, according to polls.  The reaction of independent voters will depend on whether the decision to jail Trump seems fair, given his numerous violations of the gag order.